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Champions League Betting Tips: PSG vs. Dortmund (7-5-24)

We saw two great games in the Champions last week, and there is still a lot to play for for both. It is still realistic that all four teams will reach the final.

This week starts with PSG against Dortmund. Dortmund won 1-0 last week. How will they play in the second leg?

When looking at the Champions League odds on FanDuel Sportsbook, which bets make the most sense?

PSG vs. Dortmund UCL betting (5/7/24)

Best bet: Under 2.5 goals (+178)

Many of the big names on these teams are attacking players. We generally think that they both play in an attacking style with a lot of goals.

That was not the case in the three games they played against each other this season. They have played three matches this season in which a total of two or fewer goals have been scored.

According to FBRef.com, the expected goals (xG) in last week’s match were 1.7 apiece. That was the least PSG had in the three games against Dortmund this season. This speaks to Dortmund’s improved defensive play.

Since March 30, Dortmund has held PSG, Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen under 2.0 xG. These are three of the best attacks in Europe, so to be able to do this and only concede one goal in these games is impressive.

Dortmund can approach the match defensively as they have the advantage to start. This could lead to a slow first half, which would really help us get there with this bet.

Teams tend to take a more conservative approach in these big games. Considering we’re getting such a good price for this match and underperforming like the first three times these teams met, I’m really excited to take this bet and hope these teams can’t to score.

Player Prop

Kylian Mbappe gets a shot on target in each half (+105)

With a place in the final on the line, we can expect that Kylian Mbappe to try to take matters into his own hands – or perhaps his own feet.

Mbappe had four shots in the first leg, only one of which was on target. Obviously that wouldn’t make any money for us, but PSG should be ahead and need a win in this match.

I want to find ways to get some exposure to Mbappé who is doing his best to take his team to a place in the final first. This is one of the few reasonable props we can get better than even money on him, so I’m definitely interested in this bet.

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The above author is an employee of FanDuel and is not eligible to participate in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting bets on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Following the author’s advice does not guarantee a successful outcome. You must use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports bets.