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Houston Astros vs. LA Angels Pick

Straight up/over-under/runline record

Houston Astros: 28-35 SU / OU 23-37 / Runline 26-37
Los Angeles Angels: 24-38 SU / OU 33-28 / Runline 36-26

Astros records and recent playback

The Astros will look to get back on track after ending their series against the Cardinals with a 4-2 loss. Houston was the big favorite at home at -156, but fell behind early, as the Cardinals scored three times in the third. The Astros could only score two runs, both coming in the 5th.

Ronel Blanco got the start for the Astros and took the loss. He lasted only 5 2/3 innings and gave up four earned runs on five hits. Offensively, the Astros had just three fewer hits than the Cardinals, but scored only two runs. Yainer Diaz and Trey Cabbage each had a homer.

Houston is 28-35 overall and 7.5 games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. So far, they have gone 13-11 in divisional matchups. The Astros will be on the road today taking on the Angels, and they are 2nd in the AL West.

At home, the Astros have gone 17-18 this year and are just under .500 at 11-17 on the road. As a favorite, Houston is 22-28 this year, and they are 6-7 as an underdog. Their overall series record is 9-10-1, and they won their most recent series against the Cardinals.

When it came to running line betting on the Astros, it was a mixed bag. Overall they are 26-37, but they were a better bet at home where they are 15-20. As favorites, they are just 19-31 on the lead, compared to 7-6 as underdogs. Their average run differential is zero, but they are outscored by an average of 1 run per game on the road, while outscoring their opponents by 0.7 runs per game at home.

The Houston Astros are on the road today against the Los Angeles Angels. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 8.8 runs per match. Their over/under record this season is 23-37, and when the cutoff is set at 8.5 runs, they are 5-11. Nearly half of their games this season had over/under lines higher than 8.5 runs.

Angels Records and Recent Playback

Heading into their final game against the Padres, the Angels closed out the series with a 3-2 victory. In the run-up to the match they were the big favorites with +153. Offensively, the Angels scored their three runs on six hits and did not hit a homerun.

José Soriano got the Angels off to a good start, pitching six innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out just one. He picked up the win and was buoyed by the Angels’ offense, which scored their three runs in the second inning.

With their three-game winning streak, the Angels are 24-38 overall and in 5th place in the AL West. They are 11 games behind the Mariners for the division lead and tied with the Athletics for 4th/5th in the division. So far, they have gone 4-5 in divisional matchups.

The Angels are 10-21 at home this season and 14-17 on the road. This year the Angels have really struggled in day games, going 6-16. As underdogs, the Angels are 23-34 this season, and they are just 1-4 when favored. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 5-14-1, and they won their most recent series against the Padres.

When the Angels win, they win big, as they have an average run margin of +3.5 in those games. When they lose, they lose big, because they have an average run margin of -3.5. They are 36-26 on the road this season, including 20-11 on the road. At home they are 16-15 on the flight line. They are 3-0 on the lead-in in their last three games, and in their last three games they are 3-0 on the lead-in as underdogs. They are 0-5 favorites this season.

The Angels play the Astros at home today and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined series average for Angels games this season is 9.0 points, and their over/under record is 33-28. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 13-12. So far this season, 24.2% of their games have had over/under lines higher than 8.5 runs, and 35.5% have had lower lines. The under has scored in their last four games.

Pitching matchup

Framber Valdez is looking to build on his last outing, in which he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. In that outing against the Twins, he gave up only four hits and walked two. Looking back further, Valdez had a tough outing against the Angels on May 20, giving up eight earned runs in five innings of work. Valdez has a 4-3 record and a 3.95 ERA this season. Opposing hitters are hitting .255 against the lefty this season. So far, he has made five quality starts and is averaging 6.91 strikeouts per nine innings.

Griffin Canning will look to bounce back from a rough outing against the Mariners, as he gave up one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work to take the loss. Looking at his overall numbers, Canning has made 12 starts and is 2-5 with a 4.69 ERA. Opponents are hitting .256 against the right-hander this year. Canning has made three good starts this year and is averaging 6.39 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 11 home runs and has an average of 3.41 walks per nine innings.